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Proven · the plays · Small multifamily owner

The crane you cannot see yet.

October 26, 2026 · from the county record, published agendas, SEC filings and licensed MLS aggregates

New apartments do not hurt a duplex owner the week they are approved. They arrive two years later, with a free month on every lease and a rooftop pool. The approvals are public now: Pinellas heard 8 apartment items in 90 days, Pasco heard 6 apartment items in 90 days, 14 across the three counties. CAMDEN PROPERTY TRUST and MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC. named this metro in their filings. Small multifamily still trades: 511 closings in a year, median $406k in Hillsborough. If your lease turns over the month a 300-unit building opens, you negotiate from behind, so sign the longer lease now, while the crane is still a drawing. Five items from the calendar.

0 vs 22Hillsborough apartment items, 90d
6 vs 2Pasco apartment items, 90d
8 vs 12Pinellas apartment items, 90d
5112–4 unit closings, 12 mo

Five examples

  1. Pinellas · Commission Work Session · October 13, 2026
    land use / FLU, dev agreement

    2. The Countywide Multi-Modal Impact Fees for new developments have a reduced fee for affordable housing units. For apartments, the impact fee for market rate units is $972/unit, and $557 for affordab…

  2. Pasco · Board Of County Commissioners · October 6, 2026
    rezoning, planned development

    P42 Zoning Amendment (Continuance) — Gagne Robert H Trust/Gagne MPUD Master Planned Unit Development - A Rezoning Request From an MPUD Master Planned Unit Development District to an MPUD Master Planne…

  3. Pinellas · City Council · September 17, 2026
    land use / FLU

    2. Private initiated application for a .43-acre parcel located at 1st Avenue North and 35th Street North, requesting the following Future Land Use Map amendment. [Quasi-judicial] (a) Ordinance 766-L a…

  4. Pinellas · City Council · September 17, 2026
    land use / FLU

    2. Private initiated application for a .43-acre parcel located at 1st Avenue North and 35th Street North, requesting the following Future Land Use Map amendment. [Quasi-judicial] (a) ORDINANCE 766-L, …

  5. Pinellas · City Council · September 17, 2026
    land use / FLU

    2. Private initiated application for a 0.43-acre parcel generally located at the southeast corner of 2nd Avenue North and 35th Street North, requesting amendments to the Future Land Use and Official Z…

Examples are public records: county appraiser parcels, recorded deeds, published agendas, SEC filings. No listing, photo or valuation of a specific home.

Five more answers

How many apartment projects are in the pipeline?

Hillsborough: 0 agenda items in 90 days vs 22 a year ago; Pasco: 6 agenda items in 90 days vs 2 a year ago; Pinellas: 8 agenda items in 90 days vs 12 a year ago. Items are hearings, not units.

Which apartment REITs are active here?

CAMDEN PROPERTY TRUST, MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC., per filings in the last year.

What does a duplex or fourplex sell for?

Hillsborough: median $406,250 across 154 closings; Pasco: median $305,000 across 53 closings; Pinellas: median $529,500 across 304 closings.

Will new apartments lower my rents?

Not immediately; deliveries land 18 to 30 months after approval and arrive with concessions that pull the top of the market down first.

Should I sell my small multifamily now?

If it is stabilized and the calendar near it is heavy, the next two years are the window; send the address and I pull the projects within two miles.

Sources: County and city meeting agendas · SEC EDGAR filings · Stellar MLS closed sales (aggregates only, under license). Homes for sale that fit this play: Proven.

Want this run for your street, your lot or your building?

Tell me the property and the play you have in mind. I pull the closed sales, the recorded deeds, the permits and the hearings around it and send you a written take — from a licensed agent, not a widget. No valuation on a public page; the licence does not allow it and a number without seeing the property is not worth much anyway.