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Proven · the plays · Small multifamily owner

The crane you cannot see yet.

September 9, 2026 · from the county record, published agendas, SEC filings and licensed MLS aggregates

New apartments do not hurt a duplex owner the week they are approved. They arrive two years later, with a free month on every lease and a rooftop pool. The approvals are public now: Pasco heard 9 apartment items in 90 days, Pinellas heard 6 apartment items in 90 days, 16 across the three counties. CAMDEN PROPERTY TRUST and MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC. named this metro in their filings. Small multifamily still trades: 523 closings in a year, median $425k in Hillsborough. If your lease turns over the month a 300-unit building opens, you negotiate from behind, so sign the longer lease now, while the crane is still a drawing. Five items from the calendar.

1 vs 20Hillsborough apartment items, 90d
9 vs 3Pasco apartment items, 90d
6 vs 7Pinellas apartment items, 90d
5232–4 unit closings, 12 mo

Five examples

  1. Pinellas · City Council · September 17, 2026
    land use / FLU

    2. Private initiated application for a .43-acre parcel located at 1st Avenue North and 35th Street North, requesting the following Future Land Use Map amendment. [Quasi-judicial] (a) Ordinance 766-L a…

  2. Pasco · Board Of County Commissioners · September 9, 2026
    rezoning, planned development

    P55 Zoning Amendment (Regular) - Gagne Robert H Trust/Gagne MPUD Master Planned Unit Development - A Rezoning Request From an MPUD Master Planned Unit Development District to an MPUD Master Planned Un…

  3. Pasco · Board Of County Commissioners · September 9, 2026
    planned development

    Development LLC et al.- A Substantial Modification to the Two Rivers MPUD Master Planned Unit Development to Allow for the Maximum Development of BCC Agenda Page 12 of 19 4,047 Single-Family Detached …

  4. Pasco · Board Of County Commissioners · September 9, 2026
    plat / lot split

    N82 Recording of Plat - Two Rivers Parcels F and K Phases 1 and 3 - EPG Two Rivers QOZP, LLC, EPG-Two Rivers, LLC, Two Rivers Apartments, LLC, and Two Rivers East Commercial Property Owners Associatio…

  5. Pinellas · City Council · August 27, 2026
    land use / FLU

    5. Private initiated application for a 3.89-acre parcel located at 3010 58th Avenue South, requesting amendments to the Future Land Use and Official Zoning maps. [Quasi- judicial] (a) ORDINANCE 765-L,…

Examples are public records: county appraiser parcels, recorded deeds, published agendas, SEC filings. No listing, photo or valuation of a specific home.

Five more answers

How many apartment projects are in the pipeline?

Hillsborough: 1 agenda items in 90 days vs 20 a year ago; Pasco: 9 agenda items in 90 days vs 3 a year ago; Pinellas: 6 agenda items in 90 days vs 7 a year ago. Items are hearings, not units.

Which apartment REITs are active here?

CAMDEN PROPERTY TRUST, MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC., per filings in the last year.

What does a duplex or fourplex sell for?

Hillsborough: median $425,000 across 159 closings; Pasco: median $310,000 across 54 closings; Pinellas: median $525,000 across 310 closings.

Will new apartments lower my rents?

Not immediately; deliveries land 18 to 30 months after approval and arrive with concessions that pull the top of the market down first.

Should I sell my small multifamily now?

If it is stabilized and the calendar near it is heavy, the next two years are the window; send the address and I pull the projects within two miles.

Sources: County and city meeting agendas · SEC EDGAR filings · Stellar MLS closed sales (aggregates only, under license). Homes for sale that fit this play: Proven.

Want this run for your street, your lot or your building?

Tell me the property and the play you have in mind. I pull the closed sales, the recorded deeds, the permits and the hearings around it and send you a written take — from a licensed agent, not a widget. No valuation on a public page; the licence does not allow it and a number without seeing the property is not worth much anyway.