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Ari AbdiTampa Bay · Market Data
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Proven · the plays · Buyer

Someone in Hudson 34669 just took $5k off. They will take more.

October 26, 2026 · from the county record, published agendas, SEC filings and licensed MLS aggregates

60% of the homes for sale in Hudson 34669 have already cut their price, by a median $5k, and the rest have sat 47 days. Land O Lakes 34639 and Lutz 33558 are close behind. That is not a sad market. It is a negotiable one. In Pinellas Park 33781 it is the opposite: 37% of the inventory is already under contract and you will be the one competing. So in the first list, offer where the repriced homes settled and ask for closing costs too; in the second, be pre-approved before you fall in love. Five ZIPs below, with the numbers.

45% of 6,227Hillsborough: active listings already cut
49% of 3,788Pasco: active listings already cut
42% of 5,873Pinellas: active listings already cut
60% cut, 47dMost leverage: Hudson 34669

Five examples

  1. Hudson 34669, Pasco County
    110 active, 24 pending · 66 already cut price (60%), median cut $5k (2%) · median list $339,443, 47 days on market

    60% have conceded once, $5k at a time, and the rest have sat 47 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  2. Land O Lakes 34639, Pasco County
    86 active, 30 pending · 51 already cut price (59%), median cut $6k (2%) · median list $432,495, 47 days on market

    59% have conceded once, $6k at a time, and the rest have sat 47 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  3. Lutz 33558, Pasco County
    72 active, 16 pending · 42 already cut price (58%), median cut $10k (3%) · median list $599,999, 47 days on market

    58% have conceded once, $10k at a time, and the rest have sat 47 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  4. Zephyrhills 33541, Pasco County
    198 active, 62 pending · 106 already cut price (54%), median cut $5k (3%) · median list $400,000, 47 days on market

    54% have conceded once, $5k at a time, and the rest have sat 47 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  5. St Petersburg 33709, Pinellas County
    71 active, 14 pending · 38 already cut price (54%), median cut $9k (3%) · median list $404,900, 47 days on market

    54% have conceded once, $9k at a time, and the rest have sat 47 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

Examples are public records: county appraiser parcels, recorded deeds, published agendas, SEC filings. No listing, photo or valuation of a specific home.

Five more answers

How much are sellers actually taking off?

Hudson 34669: a median $5k (2%) on the 66 listings that cut; Land O Lakes 34639: a median $6k (2%) on the 51 listings that cut; Lutz 33558: a median $10k (3%) on the 42 listings that cut. A second cut usually follows the first within a month.

Is Tampa Bay a buyer’s market?

By county, Hillsborough has 45% of listings already cut and 21% pending; Pasco has 49% of listings already cut and 21% pending; Pinellas has 42% of listings already cut and 19% pending. The ZIPs above are where that hides real leverage.

Where will I have to compete?

Pinellas Park 33781 (37% pending, 17 days to pending), Seminole 33772 (36% pending, 12 days to pending), Tampa 33624 (34% pending, 14 days to pending).

What do we ask for, exactly?

On a home past 45 days or with a prior cut: the price the repriced homes settled at, plus closing costs, plus a repair credit after inspection. Ask for all three; you will get two.

Can you tell me how much to offer on a specific house?

Yes: send the address and I pull the last 90 days of closings around it and send an offer range with the reasoning.

Sources: Stellar MLS active, pending and closed data (ZIP aggregates, under license). Homes for sale that fit this play: Proven.

Want this run for your street, your lot or your building?

Tell me the property and the play you have in mind. I pull the closed sales, the recorded deeds, the permits and the hearings around it and send you a written take — from a licensed agent, not a widget. No valuation on a public page; the licence does not allow it and a number without seeing the property is not worth much anyway.