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Ari AbdiTampa Bay · Market Data
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Proven · the plays · Buyer

Someone in Holiday 34690 just took $5k off. They will take more.

September 9, 2026 · from the county record, published agendas, SEC filings and licensed MLS aggregates

40% of the homes for sale in Holiday 34690 have already cut their price, by a median $5k, and the rest have sat 50 days. Valrico 33596 and St Petersburg 33710 are close behind. That is not a sad market. It is a negotiable one. In Tampa 33625 it is the opposite: 35% of the inventory is already under contract and you will be the one competing. So in the first list, offer where the repriced homes settled and ask for closing costs too; in the second, be pre-approved before you fall in love. Five ZIPs below, with the numbers.

12% of 13,322Hillsborough: active listings already cut
11% of 9,831Pasco: active listings already cut
12% of 10,326Pinellas: active listings already cut
40% cut, 50dMost leverage: Holiday 34690

Five examples

  1. Holiday 34690, Pasco County
    48 active, 11 pending · 19 already cut price (40%), median cut $5k (3%) · median list $249,900, 50 days on market

    40% have conceded once, $5k at a time, and the rest have sat 50 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  2. Valrico 33596, Hillsborough County
    91 active, 30 pending · 36 already cut price (40%), median cut $10k (3%) · median list $493,900, 21 days on market

    40% have conceded once, $10k at a time, and the rest have sat 21 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  3. St Petersburg 33710, Pinellas County
    120 active, 38 pending · 46 already cut price (38%), median cut $10k (3%) · median list $481,500, 21 days on market

    38% have conceded once, $10k at a time, and the rest have sat 21 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  4. Spring Hill 34610, Pasco County
    70 active, 21 pending · 26 already cut price (37%), median cut $10k (3%) · median list $440,000, 60 days on market

    37% have conceded once, $10k at a time, and the rest have sat 60 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

  5. Tampa 33624, Hillsborough County
    70 active, 35 pending · 26 already cut price (37%), median cut $6k (2%) · median list $475,000, 21 days on market

    37% have conceded once, $6k at a time, and the rest have sat 21 days: offer where the repriced homes settled, and ask for the closing costs.

Examples are public records: county appraiser parcels, recorded deeds, published agendas, SEC filings. No listing, photo or valuation of a specific home.

Five more answers

How much are sellers actually taking off?

Holiday 34690: a median $5k (3%) on the 19 listings that cut; Valrico 33596: a median $10k (3%) on the 36 listings that cut; St Petersburg 33710: a median $10k (3%) on the 46 listings that cut. A second cut usually follows the first within a month.

Is Tampa Bay a buyer’s market?

By county, Hillsborough has 12% of listings already cut and 27% pending; Pasco has 11% of listings already cut and 24% pending; Pinellas has 12% of listings already cut and 28% pending. The ZIPs above are where that hides real leverage.

Where will I have to compete?

Tampa 33625 (35% pending, 14 days to pending), Tampa 33624 (33% pending, 13 days to pending), Clearwater 33761 (33% pending, 12 days to pending).

What do we ask for, exactly?

On a home past 45 days or with a prior cut: the price the repriced homes settled at, plus closing costs, plus a repair credit after inspection. Ask for all three; you will get two.

Can you tell me how much to offer on a specific house?

Yes: send the address and I pull the last 90 days of closings around it and send an offer range with the reasoning.

Sources: Stellar MLS active, pending and closed data (ZIP aggregates, under license). Homes for sale that fit this play: Proven.

Want this run for your street, your lot or your building?

Tell me the property and the play you have in mind. I pull the closed sales, the recorded deeds, the permits and the hearings around it and send you a written take — from a licensed agent, not a widget. No valuation on a public page; the licence does not allow it and a number without seeing the property is not worth much anyway.