Same million dollars. 2.4× the house.
September 9, 2026 · from the county record, published agendas, SEC filings and licensed MLS aggregates
Picture two closings. In Brandon 33511, a million bought a median 4,602 square feet on a 13,689 sf lot: room for the piano, the pool and a dog that loses tennis balls. In St Petersburg 33701, the same million bought 1,948 square feet and the walk to dinner. Neither buyer was wrong. 3,305 homes closed above $1M here in a year and the spread per foot was 3.5×, so the first question is not the budget. It is: do we want the yard or the water? Answer that, then read the five sales below, straight from the county record.
| Band | For sale now | Asking $/sf | Closed $/sf, 12 mo | Closings, 12 mo | Days to contract | Months of supply | Most house per $ (closed) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1M–2M | 2,437 | $476 | $469 | 2,479 | 36d | 10.5 mo | Brandon 33511 · $253/sf on 4,602 sf |
| $2M–3M | 630 | $661 | $707 | 526 | 26d | 15.1 mo | Tampa 33613 · $470/sf on 5,246 sf |
| $3M+ | 622 | $923 | $921 | 300 | 40d | 24.6 mo | Tampa 33613 · $592/sf on 5,784 sf |
Active listings and closings are licensed MLS aggregates for single-family, townhouse and condo across Hillsborough, Pinellas and Pasco; "asking" is the median list price per heated square foot today, "closed" the median of the last twelve months of sales in the band.
Five examples
- 125 Hidden Estates Ct, Brandon 33511
Brandon 33511 closes $1M+ homes at about $253/sf on a median 4,602 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 19328 Eagle Creek Ln, Tampa 33647
Tampa 33647 closes $1M+ homes at about $270/sf on a median 4,544 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 1808 W Erna Dr, Lutz 33559
Lutz 33559 closes $1M+ homes at about $282/sf on a median 4,747 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 29171 Ginnetto, Wesley Chapel 33543
Wesley Chapel 33543 closes $1M+ homes at about $288/sf on a median 4,069 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 610 5th St N, St Petersburg 33701
St Petersburg 33701 runs $879/sf, 247% more per foot than Brandon 33511: here the money buys the street and the water.
Examples are public records: county appraiser parcels, recorded deeds, published agendas, SEC filings. No listing, photo or valuation of a specific home.
Five more answers
Will we actually get a yard at $1M?
In Brandon 33511 the median $1M+ lot was 13,689 sf, in Tampa 33647 the median $1M+ lot was 16,051 sf, in Lutz 33559 the median $1M+ lot was 38,292 sf. In Tampa 33607 it was 5,227 sf and Tampa 33602 it was 6,000 sf. Same money, very different Saturdays.
New build or a house with character?
Brandon 33511 is 69% new construction at $253/sf; Lithia 33547 is 40% new construction at $301/sf; at the top of the market, St Petersburg 33701 is mostly condo towers with a median year built of 2025 and Indian Rocks Beach 33785 is mostly houses with a median year built of 1988.
How fast do we have to decide?
Oldsmar 34677 goes under contract in a median 12 days; Lithia 33547 goes under contract in a median 15 days; Tampa 33613 goes under contract in a median 16 days. Have the pre-approval and the inspector lined up before the first showing there.
I want a $3M house. Where does it buy the most, and how much room is there?
622 homes are listed at $3M+ across the three counties, asking a median $923 per square foot against $921 for the 300 that actually closed in the last year, about 24.6 months of supply. The most house per dollar at that level closed in Tampa 33613: $592/sf on a median 5,784 sf. The gap between asking and closed is your negotiating room.
Can you tell me what a specific $1M+ home is worth?
Not on a public page. Send the address and I pull the actual closings around it and send a written take.
Sources: Stellar MLS closed sales (ZIP aggregates, under license) · County Property Appraiser recorded sales and assessed values. Homes for sale that fit this play: Proven.