Same million dollars. 2.4× the house.
October 26, 2026 · from the county record, published agendas, SEC filings and licensed MLS aggregates
Picture two closings. In Brandon 33511, a million bought a median 4,602 square feet on a 11,889 sf lot: room for the piano, the pool and a dog that loses tennis balls. In St Petersburg 33701, the same million bought 1,948 square feet and the walk to dinner. Neither buyer was wrong. 3,368 homes closed above $1M here in a year and the spread per foot was 3.4×, so the first question is not the budget. It is: do we want the yard or the water? Answer that, then read the five sales below, straight from the county record.
| Band | For sale now | Asking $/sf | Closed $/sf, 12 mo | Closings, 12 mo | Days to contract | Months of supply | Most house per $ (closed) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1M–2M | 1,311 | $500 | $472 | 2,516 | 37d | 6.8 mo | Brandon 33511 · $261/sf on 4,602 sf |
| $2M–3M | 357 | $722 | $714 | 541 | 23d | 10.4 mo | Apollo Beach 33572 · $470/sf on 4,734 sf |
| $3M+ | 335 | $991 | $902 | 311 | 38d | 14.0 mo | Tampa 33613 · $580/sf on 5,687 sf |
Active listings and closings are licensed MLS aggregates for single-family, townhouse and condo across Hillsborough, Pinellas and Pasco; "asking" is the median list price per heated square foot today, "closed" the median of the last twelve months of sales in the band.
Five examples
- 125 Hidden Estates Ct, Brandon 33511
Brandon 33511 closes $1M+ homes at about $261/sf on a median 4,602 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 3019 Cordoba Ranch Blvd, Lutz 33559
Lutz 33559 closes $1M+ homes at about $282/sf on a median 4,520 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 16731 Focus, Land O Lakes 34638
Land O Lakes 34638 closes $1M+ homes at about $287/sf on a median 4,250 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 29043 Picana, Wesley Chapel 33543
Wesley Chapel 33543 closes $1M+ homes at about $288/sf on a median 4,069 sf: this is what "more house" looks like.
- 1223 5th St S, St Petersburg 33701
St Petersburg 33701 runs $882/sf, 238% more per foot than Brandon 33511: here the money buys the street and the water.
Examples are public records: county appraiser parcels, recorded deeds, published agendas, SEC filings. No listing, photo or valuation of a specific home.
Five more answers
Will we actually get a yard at $1M?
In Brandon 33511 the median $1M+ lot was 11,889 sf, in Clearwater 33764 the median $1M+ lot was 36,954 sf, in Lutz 33559 the median $1M+ lot was 30,255 sf. In Tampa 33607 it was 5,227 sf and Tampa 33602 it was 6,136 sf. Same money, very different Saturdays.
New build or a house with character?
Brandon 33511 is 67% new construction at $261/sf; at the top of the market, St Petersburg 33701 is mostly condo towers with a median year built of 2025 and Indian Rocks Beach 33785 is mostly houses with a median year built of 1987.
How fast do we have to decide?
Tampa 33613 goes under contract in a median 12 days; Lutz 33549 goes under contract in a median 13 days; Lithia 33547 goes under contract in a median 18 days. Have the pre-approval and the inspector lined up before the first showing there.
I want a $3M house. Where does it buy the most, and how much room is there?
335 homes are listed at $3M+ across the three counties, asking a median $991 per square foot against $902 for the 311 that actually closed in the last year, about 14.0 months of supply. The most house per dollar at that level closed in Tampa 33613: $580/sf on a median 5,687 sf. The gap between asking and closed is your negotiating room.
Can you tell me what a specific $1M+ home is worth?
Not on a public page. Send the address and I pull the actual closings around it and send a written take.
Sources: Stellar MLS closed sales (ZIP aggregates, under license) · County Property Appraiser recorded sales and assessed values. Homes for sale that fit this play: Proven.